Progression Calculator Corrected Martingale

Analytical sizing of hedges with individual odds adjustments per step to ensure net profit targets.

Target Profit

Odd Base

Step Limit

Target Net Profit

R$ 0.00

Fixed and guaranteed net profit on any winning stage.

Maximum Financial Exposure

R$ 0.00

Total bankroll at risk to cover up to etapa.

Total Gross Return

R$ 0.00

Physical equation: Exposure + Target Profit on win.

Coverage Table by Stage

Show Gross Return column

Etapa	Coverage Odds	Suggested Stake	Accumulated Cost	Gross Return	Net Profit

Exponential Exposure Analytical Alert

Na coverage progression stage, the cumulative financial exposure required to defend the target of atinge ( (the profit target). Sequential probabilistic deviations require disproportionately large betting amounts and quickly exceed the operational limits set by the platforms.

Mathematical Engineering of Coverage Progression

The classic Martingale strategy is based on simply doubling the stake after a loss. However, strictly doubling the stake by a factor of 2 only preserves the profit target when the odds are exactly **2.00**.

At lower odds (e.g., 1.50 or 1.80), traditional doubling creates a progressive deficit. At higher odds (e.g., 3.00), doubling risks more capital than necessary.

Exact Formula per Stage: Stake_n = (Target Profit + Cumulative Cost_{n-1}) ÷ (Odd_n - 1)

Exponential Risk Management

Stage 1 (Stake: R$ 10.00): Total cost: R$ 10.00.

Stage 5 (Stake: R$ 160.00): Total cost: R$ 310.00.

Round 8 (Stake: R$ 1,280.00): Total cost: R$ 2,550.00.

To maintain a target price of R$ 10.00 in the 8th round, the required financial exposure exceeds R$ 2,500.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

The Modified Martingale is a mathematical adaptation of the progression in which the stake for each stage is recalculated based on the actual odds. This ensures that, when a round is won at any level, the gross return covers 100% of the previously accumulated costs and delivers exactly the targeted profit.

Each row in the table has an individual, editable odds control. If the odds fluctuate in the third stage during a live trade, simply change the value directly in the table field, and all subsequent stakes will be recalculated instantly.

If the odds are 1.50 and you double your stake (R$ 10 → R$ 20), a win in the second round pays out R$ 30 (R$ 20 × 1.50). Since the total cost was R$ 30 (10 + 20), your profit was zero. With odds lower than 2.00, you need to apply a multiplier greater than 2x to secure a profit.

There is no 100% safe limit. Standard deviation and losing streaks in probabilistic events can extend beyond bankroll capacity. It is recommended to set a strict maximum limit (stop loss) of 4 to 6 steps to avoid total financial ruin.

In addition to bankroll capital depletion, bookmakers impose maximum bet limits per market. In advanced rounds, the calculated stake may exceed the bookmaker's maximum cap, preventing coverage execution.