Calculator for Surebet / Arbitrage
Calculate the exact distribution of Stake among different selections to ensure consistent returns through mathematical arbitrage.
The Ministry of Finance warns: Staking is not an investment.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
A Surebet (or sports arbitrage) is a technique where the bettor exploits the variations in Odds offered by different bookmakers for the same sports event, guaranteeing a positive return regardless of the final outcome of the match.
This happens because different bookmakers may have distinct analyses for the same match or take longer to adjust odds during major market movements.
You identify odds across different bookmakers where the combined implied probability is less than 100% (sum of reciprocals S < 1).
Our calculator divides your principal amount strictly in proportion to each odds figure. Regardless of who wins the event, the total gross return will cover the total cost of the trade with a positive net margin.
Yes! It's a 100% legitimate strategy based on mathematics and market analysis. However, bookmakers monitor systematic arbitrage behavior and may impose betting limits on accounts that frequently engage in this practice.
Usually between 1% and 5% per transaction. Surebets above 10% are rare and often indicate obvious errors in the bookmaker’s system (reversed odds), which can result in bets being canceled or voided by the bookmaker.
Yes. To engage in effective arbitrage, you need to maintain available balances with various brokers so you can act quickly as soon as a mispriced quote is identified in the market.
It is the sum of the percentage probabilities calculated for each possible outcome of the event. If the sum of the implied odds is less than 100%, there is a mathematical arbitrage opportunity.
The main practical risks include:
- The odds may fluctuate on one of the teams while you place your bet on the other;
- The house imposes an unexpected maximum bet limit;
- The airline canceled the ticket, citing a gross error in the fare quotes.
See Also
The Ministry of Finance warns: gambling is not an investment. Esta calculadora é uma ferramenta exclusivamente analítica para auxílio na tomada de decisão matemática. Não garantimos ganhos financeiros futuros. Aposte de forma consciente e responsável.